Shorter crops and high prices predicted for winter mango season

From Fresh Plaza | 17 October 2023

Overview of mangos in the U.S. market, complemented by charts from Agronometrics. Original published on October 16, 2023.

Mango supply seems to be tight across a few growing regions right now. “There is supply coming from Brazil but there’s a lot of commitment for short crops. The volume compared to last year is much lower,” says Giorgio Ceciarelli of GC Imports, noting that the country is shipping Tommy Atkins mangoes.

The situation in Peru is similar. “There is 20-40 percent less of the crop compared to last year. Typically with mangoes, one year is a high crop and another year is a low crop year and this is the low crop year,” he says. Peru has started shipping Ataulfo.

Then next month, Ecuador will start shipping its mangoes, which are shipped until February. It too will have less supply.

mango volumes by history 6

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

High mango demand

Meanwhile, demand is strong for the limited crops that are available. “Everybody is looking for product and prices are very high–much higher than this time last year,” says Ceciarelli. “Everybody wants fruit and we’re fighting at the field level. Brazil for example has doubled the price and that creates insecurity for importers who want to bring product without excessive prices.”

Some moderate relief does lie ahead. “We just started so the volume will increase a little bit and there will be availability but it will be limited. So in the next month, I don’t see it changing but maybe November-December will have a little bit more from South America,” he says. Then Mexico will start shipping fruit again after that though how the Mexican crop will look is unknown at this point.

The News in Charts is a collection of stories from the industry complemented by charts from Agronometrics to help better tell their story.

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