Agronometrics in Charts: 2022 : Mangos in Review

By Agronometrics | 3 January 2023

In this installment of the ‘Agronometrics In Charts’ series, Sarah Ilyas reviews the 2022 Mango season and takes a look at what 2023 might have in store for mangos in the US. Each week the series looks at a different horticultural commodity, focusing on a specific origin or topic visualizing the market factors that are driving change..


The National Mango Board predicts that overall mango shipments from week 50 of 2022 to week 5 of 2023 will be roughly 29% higher compared to the last season, with arrivals anticipated from week 51 to week 6. The Brazilian season in 2022 is anticipated to be roughly 27% lower while the 2022–23 Ecuadorian season is anticipated to be roughly 7% higher YOY. The organization also anticipates that the Peruvian season in 2022–23 would be roughly 30% greater YOY. 

Mexico:

The Mexican mango season commenced in the first week of January and ran until October. The season was marked by scarce and late rains. However, compared to last year, the export volume to the United States increased by roughly 10 percent. Surges in the costs of cardboard, freight, production inputs, fertilizers, and other inputs led to an overall increase in production costs. Mexico, however, continues to be the world’s leading mango exporter and the flavor and texture of its mango varieties have led to a significant increase in their consumption in the United States. The new season is set to kick off in the third week of January.

mango volumes by history 13

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

Peru:

Lengthy transit times in the 2021/22 season led to the fruit arriving at destination ports in sub-par condition from Peru. For the upcoming 2022/23 season, logistics operators are offering shipments with shorter transit times of between 28 to 33 days to the US.  The 2022/23 Peruvian mango season began the last week of October and is expected to run until the last week of March (2023). Despite the late start, mango shippers are expecting a strong season, with a projection of approximately 20.6 million boxes

Peruvian exporters continue to battle with high freight prices and a lack of containers which, as recently warned by the Peruvian Association of Producers and Exporters of Mango (APEM), continues to be a concern for the new campaign. “The shipping cost went from 40% to 80% of the cost of packaging and shipping. This caused the result of the business to be negative and, in some cases, the bankruptcy of companies that could not afford the costs,” the union recalls, referring to the 2021/22 campaign.

Demand for larger-sized fruits such as 6s,7s,8s and 9s is strong while that for smaller fruits such as 10s and 12s is relatively low. Steady movement is expected throughout December and into January. Initial shipments have been of the Kent variety, which is preferred by consumers owing to its superior taste and size.

mango volumes by history 12

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

Brazil

The Brazilian mango 2022/23 season began the first week of August and ran until the second week of December. Brazilian fruit cultivation registered an 11 percent decrease in the value and volume of fruit exports in the first half of 2022 as a result of inclement weather conditions. The adverse weather in the Sao Francisco Valley during the first half of this year was the major cause of a decrease in mango yield. Volume shipped from Brazil by the end of week 49 was approximately 111,612 boxes for a total of 9,369,337 boxes for the season.  During the same week last year, volume shipped from Brazil was 262,306 boxes for a total of 12,502,441 boxes.

mango volumes by history 16

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

Ecuador

The Ecuadorian mango season began the second week of September and will run until the last week of December/ first week of January with a projection of approximately 14 million boxes mostly consisting of Tommy Atkins, some Kents and a small volume of Ataulfos. Volume shipped by the end of week 49 was approximately 1,128,502 boxes for a total of 12,249,836 boxes for the season.

mango volumes by history 17

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

Overall, pricing on mangoes was fairly similar to last year until week 43 despite added costs on the grower side for shipping and logistics costs almost doubling since last year. “There’s definitely been more fruit this year from both Brazil and Ecuador. This year Ecuador started earlier on the round/red mangoes overlapping with the Brazilian season and bringing the market price down considerably from week 46 onwards. There’ve been some Peruvian shipments since week 46 to the East coast and a few shipments on week 49 to the West Coast. But no significant volume yet,” says Erik Carrillo of Las Vegas, NV-based Terra Exports.

mango prices by history 5

Source: USDA Market News via Agronometrics.
(Agronometrics users can view this chart with live updates here)

To learn more take a look at our most read mango stories this year:

1. Agronometrics in Charts: Indian Mangoes Swiftly Recovering Lost Ground Within the US Market

2. Agronometrics in Charts: Mexican mango production projected to increase despite climatic challenges

3. US Peruvian mango imports have increased by 99% in the past 16 years

4. Agronometrics in Charts: Indian Mangoes Soon To Be Back On the American Platter

5. Agronometrics in Charts: Mexican Mangoes Continue to Be Relished by a Growing Majority

In our ‘In Charts’ series, we work to tell some of the stories that are moving the industry. Feel free to take a look at the other articles by clicking here

All pricing for domestic US produce represents the spot market at Shipping Point (i.e. packing house/climate controlled warehouse, etc.). For imported fruit, the pricing data represents the spot market at Port of Entry.

You can keep track of the markets daily through Agronometrics, a data visualization tool built to help the industry make sense of the huge amounts of data that professionals need to access to make informed decisions.If you found the information and the charts from this article useful, feel free to visit us at www.agronometrics.com where you can easily access these same graphs, or explore the other 21 commodities we currently track.

Written by: Sarah Ilyas

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